Sat
Apr 7 2012 4:00pm

Announcing the 2012 Hugo Award Nominees

Announcing the 2012 Hugo Award NomineesThe finalists for the 2012 Hugo Awards have been announced. Congratulations to all.

We are especially proud of the nominations for Charlie Jane Anders’ Tor.com novelette, Six Months, Three Days, John Scalzi’s Tor.com fantasy parody short story Shadow War of the Night Dragons: Book One, The Dead City,  and Jo Walton’s best novel nomination for Among Others, along with editor nominations for Patrick Nielsen Hayden and Liz Gorinsky. Congrats also go to David G. Hartwell, a contributing editor for Tor.com and senior editor at Tor Books, for his nomination for Best Semiprozine.

The Hugo Awards have been given since 1953, and every year since 1955, by the annual World Science Fiction Convention (the “Worldcon”). The first Worldcon occurred in New York City in 1939, and Worldcons have been held annually since then except during World War II. This year’s Worldcon is Chicon 7 and will be held in Chicago from August 30 through September 3.

The Guests of Honor will be Mike Resnick, Story Musgrave, Rowena Morrill, Jane Frank, Peggy Rae Sapienza, Sy Ligergot, Peter Sagal, and toastmaster John Scalzi.

Hugo Award finalists are selected by members of the previous Worldcon and of the upcoming one; winners are selected by members of the upcoming one. All Attending and Supporting members of Chicon 7 can vote on the final ballot. For more information about voting in the Hugo Awards, or becoming a member of Chicon 7, please click here.

 

Best Novel

  • Among Others by Jo Walton (Tor)
  • A Dance With Dragons by George R. R. Martin (Bantam Spectra)
  • Deadline by Mira Grant (Orbit)
  • Embassytown by China Miéville (Macmillan UK / Del Rey)
  • Leviathan Wakes by James S. A. Corey (Orbit)

Best Novella

  • Countdown by Mira Grant (Orbit)
  • “The Ice Owl” by Carolyn Ives Gilman (The Magazine of Fantasy & Science Fiction November/December 2011)
  • “Kiss Me Twice” by Mary Robinette Kowal (Asimov’s June 2011)
  • “The Man Who Bridged the Mist” by Kij Johnson (Asimov’s September/October 2011)
  • “The Man Who Ended History: A Documentary” by Ken Liu (Panverse 3)
  • Silently and Very Fast by Catherynne M. Valente (WSFA)

Best Novelette

  • “The Copenhagen Interpretation” by Paul Cornell (Asimov’s July 2011)
  • “Fields of Gold” by Rachel Swirsky (Eclipse Four)
  • “Ray of Light” by Brad R. Torgersen (Analog December 2011)
  • Six Months, Three Days” by Charlie Jane Anders (Tor.com)
  • “What We Found” by Geoff Ryman (The Magazine of Fantasy & Science Fiction March/April 2011)

Best Short Story

  • “The Cartographer Wasps and the Anarchist Bees” by E. Lily Yu (Clarkesworld April 2011)
  • “The Homecoming” by Mike Resnick (Asimov’s April/May 2011)
  • “Movement” by Nancy Fulda (Asimov’s March 2011)
  • “The Paper Menagerie” by Ken Liu (The Magazine of Fantasy & Science Fiction March/April 2011)
  • Shadow War of the Night Dragons: Book One: The Dead City: Prologue” by John Scalzi (Tor.com)

Best Related Work

  • The Encyclopedia of Science Fiction, Third Edition edited by John Clute, David Langford, Peter Nicholls, and Graham Sleight (Gollancz)
  • Jar Jar Binks Must Die… and Other Observations about Science Fiction Movies by Daniel M. Kimmel (Fantastic Books)
  • The Steampunk Bible: An Illustrated Guide to the World of Imaginary Airships, Corsets and Goggles, Mad Scientists, and Strange Literature by Jeff VanderMeer and S. J. Chambers (Abrams Image)
  • Wicked Girls by Seanan McGuire
  • Writing Excuses, Season 6 by Brandon Sanderson, Dan Wells, Howard Tayler, Mary Robinette Kowal, and Jordan Sanderson

Best Graphic Story

  • Digger by Ursula Vernon (Sofawolf Press) 
  • Fables Vol 15: Rose Red by Bill Willingham and Mark Buckingham (Vertigo)
  • Locke & Key Volume 4, Keys to the Kingdom written by Joe Hill, illustrated by Gabriel Rodriguez (IDW)
  • Schlock Mercenary: Force Multiplication written and illustrated by Howard Tayler, colors by Travis Walton (The Tayler Corporation)
  • The Unwritten (Volume 4): Leviathan created by Mike Carey and Peter Gross. Written by Mike Carey, illustrated by Peter Gross (Vertigo)

Best Dramatic Presentation, Long Form

  • Captain America: The First Avenger, screenplay by Christopher Markus and Stephan McFeely, directed by Joe Johnston (Marvel)
  • Game of Thrones (Season 1), created by David Benioff and D. B. Weiss; written by David Benioff, D. B. Weiss, Bryan Cogman, Jane Espenson, and George R. R. Martin; directed by Brian Kirk, Daniel Minahan, Tim van Patten, and Alan Taylor (HBO)
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, screenplay by Steve Kloves; directed by David Yates (Warner Bros.)
  • Hugo, screenplay by John Logan; directed by Martin Scorsese (Paramount)
  • Source Code, screenplay by Ben Ripley; directed by Duncan Jones (Vendome Pictures)

Best Dramatic Presentation, Short Form

  • “The Doctor’s Wife” (Doctor Who), written by Neil Gaiman; directed by Richard Clark (BBC Wales)
  • “The Drink Tank’s Hugo Acceptance Speech,” Christopher J Garcia and James Bacon (Renovation)
  • “The Girl Who Waited” (Doctor Who), written by Tom MacRae; directed by Nick Hurran (BBC Wales)
  • “A Good Man Goes to War” (Doctor Who), written by Steven Moffat; directed by Peter Hoar (BBC Wales)
  • “Remedial Chaos Theory” (Community), written by Dan Harmon and Chris McKenna; directed by Jeff Melman (NBC)

Best Editor, Short Form

  • John Joseph Adams
  • Neil Clarke
  • Stanley Schmidt
  • Jonathan Strahan
  • Sheila Williams

Best Editor, Long Form

  • Lou Anders
  • Liz Gorinsky
  • Anne Lesley Groell
  • Patrick Nielsen Hayden
  • Betsy Wollheim

Best Professional Artist

  • Dan dos Santos
  • Bob Eggleton
  • Michael Komarck
  • Stephan Martiniere
  • John Picacio

Best Semiprozine

  • Apex Magazine edited by Catherynne M. Valente, Lynne M. Thomas, and Jason Sizemore
  • Interzone edited by Andy Cox
  • Lightspeed edited by John Joseph Adams
  • Locus edited by Liza Groen Trombi, Kirsten Gong-Wong, et al.
  • New York Review of Science Fiction edited by David G. Hartwell, Kevin J. Maroney, Kris Dikeman, and Avram Grumer

Best Fanzine

  • Banana Wings edited by Claire Brialey and Mark Plummer
  • The Drink Tank edited by James Bacon and Christopher J Garcia
  • File 770 edited by Mike Glyer
  • Journey Planet edited by James Bacon, Christopher J Garcia, et al.
  • SF Signal edited by John DeNardo

Best Fan Writer

  • James Bacon
  • Claire Brialey
  • Christopher J Garcia
  • Jim C. Hines
  • Steven H. Silver

Best Fan Artist

  • Brad W. Foster
  • Randall Munroe
  • Spring Schoenhuth
  • Maurine Starkey
  • Steve Stiles
  • Taral Wayne

Best Fancast

  • The Coode Street Podcast, Jonathan Strahan & Gary K. Wolfe
  • Galactic Suburbia Podcast, Alisa Krasnostein, Alex Pierce, and Tansy Rayner Roberts (presenters) and Andrew Finch (producer)
  • SF Signal Podcast, John DeNardo and JP Frantz, produced by Patrick Hester
  • SF Squeecast, Lynne M. Thomas, Seanan McGuire, Paul Cornell, Elizabeth Bear, and Catherynne M. Valente
  • StarShipSofa, Tony C. Smith

John W. Campbell Award for Best New Writer

  • Mur Lafferty
  • Stina Leicht
  • Karen Lord
  • Brad R. Torgersen
  • E. Lily Yu
31 comments
David Goldfarb
1. David_Goldfarb
Best Novel
Among Others by Jo Walton (Tor)
Yeee-haaa!!!

Go, Jo! I guess I'll have to buy a supporting membership so that I can vote for you.
Gonzalo Canedo
2. Gonzalo Canedo
Best Novellete “What We Found” by Geoff Ryman appears in the issue of September/October
Rob Munnelly
3. RobMRobM
Excellent work Jo.

And I'm floored that the Scalzi short was nominated. Guess you need to do another survey of common titles next year too - apparently, it's a winning formula.

Also, congrats to the other Tor and Tor-related nominees (PNH, Brandon Sanderson, Charlie Jane Anders, all the other writers published in Tor.com with other stories (Kij Johnson, Rachel Swirsky, etc.) Well deserved success by all.

Rob
Irene Gallo
4. Irene
No 15 Second Star Wars in the Dramatic Long Form list!?
René Walling
5. cybernetic_nomad
I think 15 Second Star Wars only came out this January, if I am correct it would only be eligible for next year's Hugos.
Irene Gallo
6. Irene
Excellent! Then I can't feel bad for forgetting to voting for it. Gimmick aside, it is amazing.
Chuk Goodin
7. Chuk
I can't wait to see who wins "Best Dr. Who".
And cool that The Unwritten is nominated, that's a great book.
Rowan Shepard
8. Rowanmdm3
I am so stoked that Digger finally got some recognition. I LOVE that story and the nomination is totally derserved.

And Seanan McGuire got nominations in three different categories; that's pretty amazing.
Michael Ikeda
9. mikeda
Rowandmdm3@8

Four different categories (Novel, Novella, Related Work, Fancast).

(And under two different names, the Novel and Novella nominations being under the name Mira Grant.)
Walker White
10. Walker
Isn't nominating the entire season of a show for "long form" kind of cheating? Considering that there are three Doctor Who episodes nominated for short form, why not nominate it's series for long form as well?

Similarly, if I like the first half of a movie, could I nominate it for short form?

I no longer understand the distinction between long and short form.
Gonzalo Canedo
11. Alan Heuer
Walker:

I've never watched Doctor Who, but I'd guess the distinction is that it is episodic, and Game of Thrones is one continuous story. Game of Thrones, Season One is like an eight or nine-hour movie.
René Walling
12. cybernetic_nomad
@Walker: It hinges on the following section of the WSFS Constitution:
3.2.6: Works appearing in a series are eligible as individual works, but the series as a whole is not eligible. However, a work appearing in a number of parts shall be eligible for the year of the final part.
The idea is to allow for a complete work to be nominated and not only parts of it (so no, you couldn't nominate part of a feature as short form – unless it was a compilation of standalone short films (think Genius Party or a similar compilation – on the other hand something like 32 Short Films About Glenn Gould should not qualify as they are interelated.).

In these cases, the Hugo administrators usually go with what the nominators decide as long as it isn't clearly against the rules (ie nominating a novel in the short story category kind of thing).

Season 1 of Game of Thrones was nominated because nominators saw it as one work appearing in a number of parts. Obviously they didn't see the Doctor Who episodes the same way.

Hope that makes it a bit clearer
Marcus W
13. toryx
Glad to see some of my nominations made the cut.

Much as I enjoyed Leviathan Wakes, I'm disappointed that The Dragon's Path, which I thought was much better, didn't receive a nomination. I'm not surprised by this really, but disappointed nonetheless.
Louise van Hine
14. LouisevanHine
"Embassytown" is going to kick the snot out of "Dances with An Unworkable Plot"
Gonzalo Canedo
15. KZZ
Scalzi's nomination is just silly.
Gonzalo Canedo
16. Raskolnikov
Congratulations to all the winners, including those whose work I didn't really like. Hope people have fun reading unfamiliar things on the shortlist, reacting to the links and nominees, and engaging in discussion.

A couple categories in reaction:
I think Best Novel is particularly weak this year. A Dance With Dragons is very much the fifth volume in an endless series, padded out for the sake of money, and mistaking grimness for literary skill. Beyond that, on the most routine measure of plot momentum it falls flat, hundreds of pages of travel to get key characters to almost meet, too many viewpoint characters period, and an insultingly slow pace. I love slow books when they're doing something with the pace, this is just Scenery Porn and revelling in slow-moving plot complications. Plus, it becomes more and more clear that the series has no real political or moral complexity to speak of, we have the breakdown of Honourable Tough Leaders, Bad People and Wackjob Sadists.
Among Others has only slightly more novelty, and focused on an overly self-indulgent, self-contratulatory, smugly meta view of SF written primarily to praise SF works and SF fandom. It's not at all surprising that it's the kind of thing that would win awards (fans, like many people, like to be complimented) but there's no real substance here.
Deadline is an improvement to Feed since the politics aren't nearly as innane, but it's driven by contrivance, character stupidity and melts down spectacularly in the final forty pages, destroying many of the invented rules of the series and pulling out a resurrection (excuse me, a cloning) out of nowhere. It's also incredibly depressing to see people puke up affection automatically for a sequel.

Embassytown is a good book, essentially the token work of quality and imagination on the shortlist. (Disclaimer, haven't read Leviathon Waits yet, could be a future classic though from everything I've heard I doubt it). Even there, though, it seems a case of fandom having Mieville somewhat in their radar. I'd have been more imprssed if a genuinely excellent book got in on its own merits purely, like The Islanders, Sensation or Osama. As is it seems that there's not likely to be a move away from the cult of personality and friendship circles that drives the Hugo, I suppose I should be greatful that at least one person there actually is writing experimental stuff.

For Best Dramatic Presentation Short form, it's a sign of diminished expectations that I'm glad there were *only* three out of the five slots for Doctor Who, and two of those weren't insultingly-terrible. (The one that isn't protected by this claim, IMO, is "A Good Man Goes to War".) And I'm very pleased that Community got on, it's a better piece of writing than most things on this year's ballot and absolutely is SF. (which is more than you can say for Hugo).
Gonzalo Canedo
17. lampwick
@16 -- Christopher Priest, is that you?
Gonzalo Canedo
18. Raskolnikov
#17:
No, silly, don't you know that it's Adam Roberts who criticizes the Hugos, Priest takes Clarkes, as part of their hatred of all life. Clearly I'm more likely to be Roberts. Plus I expressed an opposite view towards Embassytown, so, yeah.

Or, just possibly, I haven't written anything of speculative fiction nature, and am just a fan (and Hugo voter) whose taste runs differently than the mass of voters, and who thinks that this is an unambitious, low-quality shortlist focused on nostalgia rather than anything (one book a sequel to last year's nominated novel, another the fifth volume in a series where all works have been nominated, another whose entire story is about commenting on and praising old SF classics, two other 'fresh' works which are revivals of old school space exploits. How could *anyone* be so crazy as to think this is a conservative and backward looking list?)

Seriously, why is fandom so pathologically quick to embrace mediocrity in its awards, and so quick to scream at anyone that's disapointed and expresses a belief that there are better works out there? There are different periods that evoke different reactions--there wasn't the same degree of criticism for Hugo 2010 shortlist or the Clarke 2011, because those seen as being as bad. Honestly if fandom is going to insist on being nice to everyone in lieu of real criticism it deserves every bit of contempt that the mainstream hurls on nerds and the scifi ghetto.
Gonzalo Canedo
19. lampwick
@18 -- I actually agree with you on some of the list: the Martin isn't the best of the series, and the Mieville isn't the best of his books. What I think is funny is the way people are so quick to criticize the Hugos, or the Clarkes. Isn't the publication of a Hugo list a time for celebration? Can't we take the time to praise the good works (surely there's something you liked among the nominees) before hurrying to tear the whole thing down? There will be ample time for criticism in the next few months, I'm sure.
Ian Johnson
20. IanPJohnson
I'm always a little bit amused and bemused at the number of people who take the Hugo awards VERY SERIOUSLY and seem to think that SCIENCE FICTION HAS NO ROOM FOR FUN.

Seriously. We're writing about aliens and wizards here. If we're not allowed to amuse ourselves while doing it, then what's the point?
Pamela Adams
21. Pam Adams
Sigh. I started my nominee re-read last night with Among Others. At 3 am, I finished it, and could go to sleep.
Jo Walton
22. bluejo
Thank you.

Pam, I refuse to be responsible for your sleep schedule!
Gonzalo Canedo
23. moose
Anne Lesley Groell?

Did she edit something else this past year? Because she surely didn't edit A Dance With Dragons.
Gonzalo Canedo
24. SillyAlpine
#24 - Agreed!
Possibly worst editing ever.
Gonzalo Canedo
25. Alan Heuer
I've submitted my Hugo ballot. My 39th consecutive year of voting. Here is how I voted:

Best Novel
1. A Dance with Dragons George R.R. Martin
2. Among Others Jo Walton
3. Deadline Mira Grant
4. Embassytown China Mieville
5. Leviathan Wakes James S.A. Corey

Best Novella
1. "The Man Who Ended History: A Documentary" Ken Liu
2. "Kiss Me Twice" Mary Robinette Kowal
3. "The Ice Owl" Carolyn Ives Gilman
4. Silently and Very Fast Catherynne M. Valente
5. "The Man Who Bridged the Mist" Kij Johnson
6. Countdown Mira Grant

Best Novelette
1. "Fields of Gold" Rachel Swirsky
2. "What We Found" Geoff Ryman
3. "Ray of Light" Brad R. Torgersen
4. "Six Months, Three Days" Charlie Jane Anders
5. " The Copenhagen Interpretation" Paul Cornell

Best Short Story
1. "Movement" Nancy Fulda
2. "The Paper Menagerie" Ken Liu
3. "The Homecoming" Mike Resnick
4. "The Cartographer Wasps and the Anarchist Bees" E. Lily Yu
5. "Shadow War of the Night Dragons: Book One: The Dead City: Prologue" John Scalzi

Any other Hugo voters out there?
Gonzalo Canedo
26. Alan Heuer
Some thoughts on the Best Novel nominees:

1. A Dance with Dragons. It seems as if a lot of the fans of the series are down on this book and A Feast for Crows. I like all five books, though I do think A Storm of Swords is easily the high point of the series so far. Yes, the books meander a bit, and perhaps GRRM has bitten off more than he can chew (though we don’t know that yet!). Still, this is powerful stuff.

2. Among Others. It seems a bit slight. Lots of space is taken up by discussions of books the heroine is reading (Silverberg! Le Guin! Delany! Zelazny!). But it manages to build momentum. Enjoyable, if not quite powerful.

3. Deadline. This was the last of the Hugo-nominated novels I read. Going in, I was convinced it was going to be my least favorite of the nominated novels because I really hadn’t liked Feed. The worldbuilding seemed a bit sketchy and difficult to believe. They must have had a lot of factories churning out blood testing units 24/7. Nobody ever seemed to run out of them. We also never got much of a sense of how the zombie apocalypse impoverished society (it would have to, wouldn’t it?). But this book manages to have some moments, and I think it’s significantly better than Feed. Still, I don’t plan to read Blackout unless it gets nominated for a Hugo.

4. Embassytown. I appreciate that there’s some originality here and that the author has created some truly alien aliens. But the book doesn’t manage to be interesting…much. There were also about 5 or 6 sentences that I couldn’t make any sense out of. “Difficult but rewarding” seems to be what some are saying of this book. I didn’t find it all that rewarding.

5. Leviathan Wakes. The wild west in space. That’s what it feels like to me. The authors labor mightily to keep up the suspense, and with some success. But it eventually gets tediously repetitive with the acceleration couches and space battles, and I was tired of it long before I finished it. It doesn’t manage to…fascinate.
Gonzalo Canedo
27. Alan Heuer
Some thoughts on the Best Novella nominees:

1. “The Man Who Ended History: A Documentary” This one might be a bit off-putting to some, dealing as graphically as it does with wartime atrocities. And I wouldn’t be too keen on it if all it did was show us the atrocities and preach about them. But this is a well-constructed story with moving revelations near the end about secrets one character always kept from another. Nicely done, and worthy of a Hugo.

2. “Kiss Me Twice” The murder mystery here is not compelling, but the relationship between the central character and an AI is compelling and gives the story some verve.

3. “The Ice Owl” The story captured my interest, but the ending is weak…and strains credulity a bit. The ending is weak enough that I suspect most of the people who nominated it for a Hugo would agree with me on that point.

4. Silently and Very Fast. Valente writes beautifully, but the story is disjointed, hallucinatory, and often, I’m afraid, quite arbitrary. Some may be mesmerized enough by the beauty of the imagery to overlook these issues...or maybe they see a method to Valente’s madness. Well, it did win the Locus Award.

5. “The Man Who Bridged the Mist” It won the Nebula and the Asimov’s Readers’ Award. Dozois, Horton, and Strahan all chose it for their annual “Best” anthologies. But I found it…pedestrian. There is no spark, no moment of significant surprise. It just plods along in its pedestrian way.

6. Countdown. Panoramic view of the zombie apocalypse. Where’s the beef? I guess the beef is in the trilogy for which this novella serves as a prequel. But this story doesn’t amount to much on its own.
Gonzalo Canedo
28. Alan Heuer 2.0
Some thoughts on the nominated novelettes:

“Fields of Gold” A man dies and finds himself at a party populated by (dead) people he knew, strangers, and celebrities. Eventually we get to learn about his life. If the story doesn’t quite gel, it has some propulsion as there are vivid characters here. It tops a weak category.

“What We Found” As the story opens, the narrator is about to get married. We get lots of recollections about his life. It’s well written and captured my interest, but various elements in the story don’t dovetail in any way that I can see. The story finishes with some philosophical summing up that didn’t bring it together for me.

“Ray of Light” Aliens arrive and block sunlight from reaching Earth. The last remnants of humanity live in submarines along the bottoms of oceans. The premise has promise, but the story is bland in the telling.

“Six Months, Three Days” A romance between two people who see the future (in different ways). I was put off by the way point-of-view was handled. One moment we’re in one character’s head, and the next moment we’re in another’s. The narration occasionally lapses into a sort of valley-girl speak. On the whole, I found the story unconvincing.

“The Copenhagen Interpretation” I’m not saying the author made it up as he went along, but it reads that way. Rather van Vogtian.
Gonzalo Canedo
29. Alan Heuer 2.0
Some thoughts on the nominated short stories:

1. “Movement” We don’t get many truly alien aliens in SF. In this story Fulda compellingly gives us a truly alien HUMAN. Or at least she gives us a character with a mindset that is quite different. And the story deals with the question of whether extraordinary measures should be taken to change that mindset into something more normal.

2. “The Paper Menagerie” Gracefully written fantasy story having to do with the gulf between parent and child. It won the Nebula, and wouldn’t be unworthy of the Hugo, though my preference is for “Movement.”

3. “The Homecoming” SF story of parent-child conflict (the kid went out and became an alien!). Well enough written, though ultimately a bit cloying and not quite successful. Resnick has taken some flak for the heavy sentimentality of some of his recent Hugo nominees, and not entirely without justice. But he’s had 30 (30!) nominations for short fiction over the last 24 years, and some of these stories have been quite hard-edged. Of the 30, my favorite is “Mwalimu in the Squared Circle.”

4. “The Cartographer Wasps and the Anarchist Bees” Allegorical (I presume) tale. I didn’t find the machinations of the wasps and the bees all that fascinating.

5. “Shadow War of the Night Dragons: Book One: The Dead City: Prologue” Inconsequential story, meant as a joke. Sometimes I fear the Hugo nominators don’t take the awards all that seriously.
Rob Munnelly
30. RobMRobM
Profound joke - not only written on April Fools but including as the title the agglomeration of the most common words in titles found on a Tor list of the best novels of the last decade. I was floored when it was nominated. Funny, yes, but best of year???
Gonzalo Canedo
31. Alan Heuer 2.0
RobMRobM, it will be interesting to see how the Scalzi story does in the final voting. One of the cool things about the Hugos is that final vote totals are released after the awards are given out.

With that in mind, what follows are my PREDICTIONS for the final order of finish in the four prose fiction categories.

Best Novel predicted order of finish:

1. A Dance with Dragons
2. Deadline
3. Among Others
4. Leviathan Wakes
5. Embassytown

It seems to be widely believed that A Dance with Dragons will win. I’m not so sure. A Feast for Crows was on the ballot five years ago and finished dead last. A Dance with Dragons doesn’t seem to be any more popular than A Feast for Crows among Song of Ice and Fire fans. Of course, the Game of Thrones TV series has started since then. Will A Dance with Dragons get extra votes because of the popularity of the TV series? I’m not convinced it will win, but I’ll go with it as the most likely winner. Back in 2000 Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban was nominated and finished last. The following year Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire was nominated and won in a landslide (with A Storm of Swords finishing second).

Best Novella predicted order of finish:

1. “The Man Who Bridged the Mist”
2. Countdown
3. “Kiss Me Twice”
4. Silently and Very Fast
5. “The Ice Owl”
6. “The Man Who Ended History: A Documentary”

I think Countdown will get the most first-place votes and “The Man Who Bridged the Mist” will win on broad popularity. I believe Countdown will be placed low on a lot of ballots, and that will deny it the victory. If “The Man Who Ended History: A Documentary” doesn’t win, it will be the 20th consecutive year that my first-place choice for Best Novella hasn’t won.

Best Novelette predicted order of finish:

1. “What We Found”
2. “Six Months, Three Days”
3. “Ray of Light”
4. “The Copenhagen Interpretation”
5. “Fields of Gold”

“What We Found” just strikes me as the story that will be most broadly popular in this group. It also won the Nebula. “Six Months, Three Days” has mostly done well in ballots that I’ve seen posted around the web.

Best Short Story predicted order of finish:

1. “The Paper Menagerie”
2. “Movement”
3. “The Cartographer Wasps and the Anarchist Bees”
4. “The Homecoming”
5. “Shadow War of the Night Dragons: Book One: The Dead City: Prologue”

Most of the posted ballots I’ve seen around the web (alas, I’ve not seen many) have had “The Paper Menagerie” and “Movement” as the top two, though not necessarily in that order. My guess is that “The Paper Menagerie” (which did win the Nebula) will edge out “Movement.” I’ll be rather sad if “Shadow War” wins.

We’ll know in eight days.

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